Abstract this study aims to investigate the hydrological cycle at wadi Zaghadnah basin in Tarhuna in terms of (rainfall-surface run-off-evaporation-infiltration) and estimation of the quantity of surface water , and to predict the maximum flood can happen in order to reduce hazardous to houses and farms that are found on my profile of the valley was the use of a series of years of readings rainfall and results have indicated to the fact that annual average rainfall was (238) mm, via using (Isohyetal method).The quantity of water which is supposed to be reserved in the dam was (1.94) million cubic meters. As for rain test, it was found that it is random and non-coherent. Having studied rain-wave relation through application of modelprediction statistical, it was deduced that it is not reliable to depend-upon in forecasting the expected rain. Results have indicated that total evaporation average to (2324.5)mm via using (CROPWAT) and average annual infiltration is (2065.17)mm, and post application of some statistic equations like probability log-Pearson Type ׀׀׀distribution and Gumbels distribution-plotting (25-50-100-1000), maximum possible amount (via using the aforesaid three methods) was found, but due to silt and likely erosion of soils as a result of flooding, silt amounts in Dom lake was estimated by using calculative equations was (5622)m³/year.
عيادة محمد ميلاد اليونسى (2012)

This paper provides experimentally determined estimates of the scale of fluctuation of the principal variables employed in modeling chloride-induced corrosion for reinforced concrete; i.e., the surface chloride content (Cs) and apparent diffusion coefficient (Dapp). The estimation of the scale of fluctuation, θ, is based on the analysis of experimental data recorded on a bridge in South East Ireland prior to its extensive rehabilitation in 2007. In determining the scale of fluctuation the paper considers two commonly used methods; i.e., the maximum likelihood method and the autocorrelation curve-fitting method. The reliability of both methods is discussed. Introduction of the kriging statistical interpolation method is demonstrated to improve the reliability of the estimates of the scale of fluctuation. The results obtained from the analysis are compared with values in the literature proffered by other researchers. arabic 16 English 119
Omran Kenshel(1-2013)

Abstract Behavior of constant thickness circular plates under axisymmetric uniform loading and for different edge boundary conditions may be obtained analytically, but for the case of variable thickness and transverse shear effect is usually difficult to follow analytically. Since the numerical analysis has become an essential tool in engineering mechanics, where the use of numerical methods enables the engineer to expand his or her ability to solve practical design problems, where the engineer may now treat real shapes as distinct from the somewhat limited variety of shapes amenable to simple analytic solution. That is why developing an appropriate numerical analysis becomes a more suited procedure to solve such problems. The standard stiffness procedure of finite element method may encounter some difficulty in formulation when dealing with both cases of variable thickness and transverse shear effect. The usually followed procedure is to utilize ring elements of constant thickness and increase the number of elements to reach an accurate solution. Mixed finite element formulation utilizing curved ring element with linearly varying thickness as well as considering the shear effect has proved to be successful to obtain accurate results for shells of revolution with small number of elements, due to the fact that the mixed formulation allows for nodal values in the form of global displacement components (ur, uz) and bending moment (Mr, M) as field variables, where second order polynomials may be used allowing for shear deformation effect to be considered as a function of moments and does not require higher order polynomials.
ايناس عبدالمولي المصراتي (2009)